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How ranges are set.

The rules are fixed. Each index's history sets its numbers. Anyone can check a range by rerunning the rules.

What an index needs.

  • An independent publisher, licensed for settlement.
  • At least ten years of daily history, including a crisis.
  • A related market makers can hedge in.
  • A written plan for late or wrong prints.

The rules.

  1. Measure the change from a five day average at the start to a five day average at the end.
  2. Set the range wide enough that 99% of past windows ended inside it.
  3. Cut it into about ten equal slices.
  4. Put a slice edge at 0%, the starting level.
  5. Build every product from whole slices, and freeze everything when the window opens.
  6. Recheck once a year, with any change applying to new windows only.

Example: US high yield credit.

RuleResult
IndexERINSDHY, S&P Dow Jones Indices
Window12 months, opening March and September
Range−30% to +20%
Windows inside4,599 of 4,620 since 2007 (99.5%)
SlicesTen, 5 points wide

If the print is late or wrong.

  1. If the print is late, settlement waits a set number of days, and a correction from the publisher is used once.
  2. If the index is replaced or stops, the successor or fallback named before trading is used.
  3. If none of these work, escrow returns to holders.

Never.

Nobody can type in a market, list two grids on the same index and window, change a window once it opens, or decide the result by vote.